Political news , opinions and views for 2010 Presidential election

Showing posts with label SWS Survey. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SWS Survey. Show all posts

April 28, 2010

'Poll surveys undermining democratic processes'

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By Perseus Echeminada (The Philippine Star)
Link: http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=570454&publicationSubCategoryId=63

MANILA, Philippines - Ang Kapatiran vice presidential candidate Dominador Chipeco Jr. yesterday criticized the political surveys being conducted by survey firms, which he said is undermining the democratic processes of the coming May 10 elections.

Speaking with The STAR editors and reporters, Chipeco said that with the election just two weeks away, voters are now having second thoughts whether to vote or not for their candidates who are trailing in the surveys being conducted by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) and Pulse Asia.

“My supporters would now think twice if they will still vote (for) me because I am in the tail end of the surveys. They might say their vote is a waste because of the survey result,” he said.

Chipeco said that even educated and mature people are affected by the results of surveys and because of mind conditioning, the freedom to choose their own candidates is now jeopardized.

April 23, 2010

Gordon sues SWS, Pulse Asia

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By Reinir Padua (The Philippine Star)
Link: http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=569021&publicationSubCategoryId=63

MANILA, Philippines - Bagumbayan presidential candidate Sen. Richard Gordon yesterday filed with the Quezon City Regional Trial Court a P650,000 civil suit against survey firms Social Weather Stations (SWS) and Pulse Asia Inc. for negatively affecting his campaign.

Gordon asked the court to temporarily restrain the polling firms from conducting surveys and publishing survey results.

Gordon asked for P100,000 in nominal and tem perate damages, P500,000 in exemplary damages, and P50,000 in attorney’s fees.

“Without regard to their fundamental duty to act with justice to observe honesty and good faith, defendants SWS and Pulse Asia, for pecuniary gain and solely for reasons intended to favor their moneyed clients, have published false, fraudulent, biased and defective surveys which have undermined the campaign of Senator Gordon and (former MMDA) Chairman Bayani (Fernando) and made them as unwinnable contenders for president and vice president, respectively,” the 26-page complaint said.

Gibo, Erap lead mock polls in Metro

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By Jaime Laude (The Philippine Star)
Link: http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=568870&publicationSubCategoryId=65

MANILA, Philippines - Lakas-Kampi-CMD presidential candidate and former defense secretary Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro Jr., and Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino former President Joseph Estrada are dominating mock polls in Metro Manila’s slum districts, newly-formed “Green Army Brigades” (GAB) bared yesterday.

Daisy Bardoquillo, head of the Kilusan ng mga Aktwal na Naninirahan sa Estado ng Payatas (Kanepa) and spokesperson of the newly-formed Green Army Brigades, said that results of mock polls they have been conducting since last month among informal settlers in Metro Manila, were in total contrast to the survey results being released by the Social Weather Station (SWS) and the Pulse Asia.

“Our own surveys had Teodoro winning popular support among the urban poor. In six big events attended by leaders of urban poor groups held in March and early April, a total of 963 joined the mock polls conducted after the meetings,” Bardoquillo said. Joven Pajora, president of the Parola Binondo Coalition, also of GAB said Teodoro was the top choice for President with 464 respondents voting for him.

April 12, 2010

Villar gains slightly in poll; Aquino still up

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By Nikko Dizon

MANILA, Philippines—Sen. Manuel Villar, Nacionalista Party standard-bearer, gained a point in a voters’ opinion poll paid for by an ally, but his strongest rival, Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III of the Liberal Party, remained ahead by 8 percentage points.
In the Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey commissioned by San Juan Rep. Ronaldo Zamora and conducted two weeks ago, 37 percent of the respondents said they would vote for Aquino while 29 percent said they would support Villar.
Former President Joseph Estrada got 17 percent, down two points from 19 percent, while administration candidate Gilbert Teodoro gained 2 points, receiving 8 percent.
There was practically no movement in the standings of all the nine presidential candidates as the changes, if any, in their ratings were well within the margin of error of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.
The survey, conducted from March 28 to 30, covered 2,100 respondents nationwide. The previous SWS survey was conducted from March 19 to 22.
The respondents were asked in Filipino, “Of the names on the list, who would you likely vote for if the presidential election were held today?”
Villar’s confidence of finally overtaking Aquino has not wavered despite the Liberal Party standard-bearer’s 8-point lead.
“Dikit na yan (That’s almost neck and neck) in an election,” Villar said at a press conference at the General Santos City airport Sunday afternoon.
Aquino welcomed the results of the latest SWS survey.

March 10, 2010

WHAT EXPERTS SAY When a tie is not really a tie

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from Philippine Daily Inquirer
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/inquirerheadlines/nation/view/20100310-257739/When-a-tie-is-not-really-a-tie

MANILA, Philippines—“When our report comes out, you will see that we just say it’s a 2-point lead and we’re not calling it a tie. Now the reason I say that is because if it could be a zero lead, it could also be a 4-point lead. It could really range to as high as four. But we’re not saying that. It seems to me that the neutral thing to do is to call it as two, because that’s where it is centered. And if you go to emphasize the tie, you’re really leaning on one side,” Mahar Mangahas, president of Social Weather Stations, says in an interview on ANC.

“I’m saying it’s a statistical tie, but it’s also a statistical 4-point lead. You’re biased if you only go to the low side, not also to the high side. You have to look at everything. Let’s not insist on saying that it’s zero, because it can also be four. To me, that’s the error. Analysts are rushing to say that finally, it’s a tie. It’s not yet a tie.”

Margin of error

“This is not the first time that Noynoy Aquino and Manny Villar have come to a “statistical tie.” In the Jan. 22-26 Pulse Asia survey, both were “tied” if the margin of error was factored in,” says Ana Maria Tabunda, Pulse Asia chief research fellow.

Noynoy, Villar statistically tied in SWS poll

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by Helen Flores (The Philippine Star)
http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=556549&publicationSubCategoryId=63

MANILA, Philippines - If the elections were held last month, either Liberal Party’s (LP) Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III or his closest rival Nacionalista Party’s (NP) Sen. Manuel Villar would win the presidency, a latest survey by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) revealed yesterday.

Aquino and Villar were “statistically tied” at first place in the SWS presidential survey conducted from Feb. 24 to 28.

The survey, commissioned by BusinessWorld, showed that Aquino continued to set the pace with 36 percent, closely followed by Villar with 34 percent.

Applying the margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points, Aquino’s rating may be the same as Villar’s, the SWS said.

The survey used face-to-face interviews of 2,100 registered voters nationwide.

Aquino’s rating dropped in four geographical areas: seven points in the balance of Luzon, six in Mindanao, five in the Visayas, and three in Metro Manila.

Villar, meanwhile, lost six percentage points in Metro Manila, two in balance Luzon, and one in Mindanao, but rose by five points in the Visayas.

By area, the SWS said Aquino remained ahead in Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao, while Villar was leading in balance Luzon.

SWS said their lost votes appear to have gone to the third- and fourth-ranked candidates: former President Joseph Estrada of the Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino (PMP), whose score improved by two points to 15 percent, and administration bet Gilbert Teodoro of the Lakas-Kampi-CMD, who also gained two points to six percent.

Bong, Jinggoy, Miriam still up

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by Helen Flores (The Philippine Star)
http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=556547&publicationSubCategoryId=63

MANILA, Philippines - Re-electionist senators Bong Revilla Jr., Jinggoy Estrada and Miriam Defensor-Santiago were statistically tied at first place in the latest senatorial survey by Pulse Asia.

Pulse Asia said 14 candidates have a statistical chance of winning Senate seats if the elections were held during the Feb. 21 to 25 survey period.

The non-commissioned survey showed Revilla getting 53.6 percent of votes, which translates to a statistical ranking of 1st to 3rd place. He is in a statistical tie with Estrada, who got 52.6 percent of the votes.

Santiago received 49.4 percent of votes, which places her anywhere from 1st to 5th.

Another re-electionist, Sen. Pia Cayetano, who received 45.4 percent, ranks 3rd to 6th.

Cayetano shared the same statistical ranking as former Senate president Franklin Drilon with 45 percent.

In sixth place is Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile (43.8 percent) with a statistical ranking of 4th to 6th.

Other senatorial candidates who have a statistical chance of winning were former senator Tito Sotto with 33.2 percent, former senator and former National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) director general Ralph Recto (33.1 percent), former senator Serge Osmeña (29.1 percent), Ilocos Norte Rep. Bongbong Marcos (28.2 percent).

Estrada eyes steady hike in survey ratings for May win

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by Norman Bordadora (Philippine Daily Inquirer)

MANILA, Philippines—Deposed president Joseph Estrada has expressed elation over his continued favorable showing in the nationwide election surveys of the Social Weather Stations and Pulse Asia.

A few days after Pulse Asia’s survey had Estrada gaining six percentage points in its late February survey, SWS reported in its Business World-commissioned survey that Estrada gained two percentage points from his previous rating in the same SWS survey.

Told that his performance in the SWS survey was not as good as his showing in Pulse Asia’s poll, Estrada said: “Whose numbers went down?”

Estrada was apparently referring to front-runners Senator Benigno Aquino III and Senator Manuel Villar, who both lost points while maintaining their first and second place positions in the SWS surveys.

The pollsters said Estrada and fourth place administration candidate Gilberto Teodoro gained from Aquino and Villar's loss.

The former Chief Executive, who’s running for another term in Malacañang after he was forced out of office in 2001, said that if his numbers would continue to go up, he could win come May.

“Tapos na sila (It’d be over for them),” Estrada said.

February 20, 2010

Poll donations shrinking - SWS

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from The Philippine Star
http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=551290&publicationSubCategoryId=63

MANILA, Philippines - Campaign donations from Philippine-based enterprises are expected to be “fewer and smaller” this year than in the 2004 presidential elections, according to a recent survey by the Social Weather Stations (SWS).

The survey, conducted from Nov. 3 to Dec. 5, 2009 among top and middle-level managers, found that 31 percent of respondents expected their enterprises to donate to political campaigns, compared to 45 percent in the 2004 elections and 23 percent in 2007.
The new survey also showed that 17 percent of the respondents expected their companies to donate to more than one candidate for a single position, while 14 percent said they would donate to only one candidate for a single position.

February 15, 2010

Poll firm owned by Arroyo allies puts Gibo on top

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by RAISSA ROBLES Vera Files (The Manila Times)
http://www.manilatimes.net/index.php/top-stories/11553-poll-firm-owned-by-arroyo-allies-puts-gibo-on-top


Close allies of President Gloria Arroyo’s husband, Jose Miguel Arroyo, are behind the new polling firm StratPOLLS Inc., which recently showed administration candidate Gilbert “Gibo” Teodoro surging dramatically in its recent survey of presidential candidates.

Aware of the power of surveys to sway voters come Election Day, Congress enacted the Fair Election Act in 2001 to require polling firms to be more transparent. Last week, however, the Commission on Elections issued new rules that appear to weaken and in effect amend that section of the Fair Election Act on surveys (See sidebar.)

Under the law, anyone can set up shop to conduct political surveys, which was what happened on July 29, 2009 when five incorporators formed StratPOLLS Inc. with a paid-up capital of P1 million. The incorporators included Dominga Rufina Chua, who owns the biggest share at 40 percent, and Benjamin Ramos and Feorelio Bote, who own 5 percent each.

January 18, 2010

Noynoy, Villar wooed Erap to withdraw from race but were spurned — JPE

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By Angie M. Rosales (The Daily Tribune) Jan 18, 2010 
http://www.tribune.net.ph/headlines/20100118hed5.html

Even as they presently lead various surveys on Filipino voters’ preference as the country’s next president, both Senators Benigno Simeon “Noynoy” Aquino and Manuel Villar Jr. tried in vain to convince former President Joseph “Erap” Estrada to withdraw from the race and obtain his endorsement, Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile revealed yesterday.

But Enrile, in an interview with radio dzBB, stressed that Estrada would never withdraw from the 2010 presidential race. “I’m very certain he will not back out. If they (Estrada’s rivals) expect him to back out, they’re mistaken. He is not going to withdraw. He will pursue his candidacy through the end,” Enrile said.

Enrile claimed that in separate instances, the camps of Aquino and Villar had approached Estrada not only to seek his support but also to consider the possibility of “giving way” to their presidential aspirations.

In the case of Aquino, Enrile said it was his siblings who approached Estrada and tried to convince him to withdraw from the presidential race in favor of Noynoy’s candidacy. “I don’t know how the meeting transpired. All I know that he, along with his sisters went to see Estrada,” he added.

Enrile made this revelation on the heels of speculations that Estrada had already given in to either Aquino’s or Villar’s camp, that he was just trying looking for the right opportunity to time his announcement of withdrawal from the race, and that Estrada would opt to act as a “king-maker”endorsing the presidential bid of one of his rivals,

“That’s what they, those who want to get the support of Estrada followers, (want) to happen. They’re trying to mislead the public. But it’s not going to happen because he will proceed with his candidacy,” Enrile said.

January 15, 2010

An unwanted word war

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by Nestor Mata (Malaya) Jan 14, 2010
http://www.malaya.com.ph/01142010/edmata.html

A WORD WAR has erupted, incredulously, between the political camps of Noynoy Aquino and Manny Villar, the two leading candidates in the race to the presidency in May.

It all started soon after the Social Weather Stations (SWS) came out with survey results that showed Villar having chopped the lead of Aquino in the last two days of December 2009.

Apparently startled, Aquino, as Liberal Party presidential candidate, suddenly threw a verbal punch at Villar. He accused his closest rival of not being in the forefront of Senate probes into the innumerable corruption cases against Gloria Arroyo and administration.

Naturally, Villar countered that Aquino was lying. "You know," the standard bearer of the Nacionalista Party noted, "he (Aquino) is lying. .. He knows very well that I and members of the Nacionalista Party handled three big investigations against President Arroyo That’s why I can’t help but laugh at Noynoy’s allegations…he doesn’t seem to know what’s happening since the Liberal Party has not done major accomplishments like these."

What’s happening is indeed unfortunate. The people are not going to make their choice of the next president on the basis of a candidate’s ability to hurl verbal javelins at a fellow rival candidate.

Rather the Filipino voters want proof of a would-be President’s experience and capacity to govern, to introduce new ideas of governance which they never experienced before because of the intensive partisan politics.

We have discussed here briefly Many Villar’s own concept to introduce a new kind of presidency that would lead the country to national unity and economic progress. It’s an idea that he had started to carry out, first as Speaker of the House of Representatives and later as President of the Senate.

Now, what can one say about Noynoy’s own record of experience in public service for years now? What are his credentials? And what has he accomplished in all the years he was a congressman and a senator?

Aquino’s political handlers and spin doctors have woven around him the mythos of his martyred father and mother who became an accidental president decades ago. They have gone out on a limb to bring back memories of his parents to gain public sympathy.

It seemed to have worked for a while since September when he announced his intention to run for the presidency. Alas, his high ratings started to decline as indicated by the public opinion surveys, and Villar is slowly catching up with him.

Here are excerpts from the views of two perceptive observers, one an Upsilonian from the University of the Philippines and the other an Atenean, who has been watching presidential politics on the sidelines.

First, here’s the Upsilonian’s statement now being circulated on the Internet:

"…Now comes Noynoy Aquino. His spin doctors want to replicate what Cory did. The analogy may be precise as Noynoy is also accused of ‘walang alam’…Noynoy had 11 years of public service and he has no sterling performance and for this reason he is accused of ‘walang alam’…

"So why will he be a considered a symbol of courage,

trustworthiness and change, when he did practically nothing for 11 years in government service? … His excuse that he is the political opposition and all he could do is co-author bills for legislation.

"Noynoy does not even have an advocacy… His record is a pale shadow, not even, but worse a mockery of his own father’s achievements (as then senator of the land before the Marcos dictatorship).

"For this dismal record, why should we reward Noynoy , a non-achiever, the presidency?"

Well, what this discerning political watcher is saying, in other words, is that Noynoy Aquino, the presidential candidate, is not prepared, has no advocacy, and is merely basking in the mythical reflected glory of his parent’s name, and he has no achievement of his own, but a mere media creation spun by his political operators!

Here are excerpts from the Atenean’s statement that’s now being circulated among Ateneo alumni groups:

"What are the main issues in the election? In my mind, there is only one. The greatest aspiration of the Filipino people in these times is: To attain economic prosperity…

"There is no other issue that comes close. The eight million Filipino overseas workers and millions more of their families dream of this goal. Many more would easily identify with this goal. There are millions of younger people who dream of better paying jobs and more jobs or business opportunities.

"I’m not familiar with the official platforms that each of the candidates or their parties are touting. I don’t bother to read them. They are just for public posturing and they won’t be followed just as Obama did not follow his promise of ‘change.’ What is important is what we can assume that the candidate will do once elected. And the clues to what he will do depends on the candidate’s capabilities and what he really wants to do.

"There no reliable way to know what the candidate intends to do but we can tell more from his past achievements, executive ability, intellectual capacity, political savviness, courage, philosophy, and general qualities as a person."

Noynoy: Running on empty?

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from LowDown by Jojo Robles (The Manila Standard Today) Jan 13, 2010
http://www.manilastandardtoday.com/insideOpinion.htm?f=2010/january/12/jojorobles.isx&d=2010/january/12

From Noynoy Aquino, speaking about his accomplishments prior to seeking the presidency, we learn that he was instrumental in the success of the Nike brand in the Philippines. And all along, I thought that was something that basketball superstar Michael Jordan laid claim to.

At the first clear sign showing that his closest rival in the presidential race is gaining on him, Aquino hits the panic button. During a debate over the weekend after the Social Weather Stations polling outfit showed that his once-humongous survey lead over Manny Villar had narrowed to 11 percentage points, Aquino suddenly started slamming surveys in general.

Some surveys, he commented during a debate with Villar and Dick Gordon at the Dela Salle Zobel school in Alabang, can be purchased in Quiapo. With that one snarky remark relegating public-opinion polls to the level of pirated DVDs and homemade abortion recipes, the only son of Ninoy and Cory seemed to reveal a lot about how he would handle pressure and adversity, something that not a lot of us had any idea of heretofore.

Indeed, if the latest SWS survey indicated anything, it’s the obvious fact that Aquino had better start riding on the coattails of his illustrious dead parents less and begin showing us who he really is more. And what we’ve seen so far, we can’t say that we really like.

Speaking of the latest SWS poll, it’s interesting to note that one of its findings was that Aquino’s running mate Mar Roxas has widened his lead over Villar’s partner, Loren Legarda, even while Noynoy’s advantage over Manny dramatically dwindled. Roxas made the usual modest remarks about this development and did not even hint at the survey’s provenance anywhere near the Quiapo Church.

Roxas, to his credit, seems to have a better ability of rolling with the political punches. He’s trailed Legarda in previous polls and even had to slide down to the number two spot mostly against his will—but Mar never openly expressed his bitterness or frustration at the occasional low points that his political career (like every politician’s) goes through.

Not so Aquino, who followed up on his inexplicable attack on opinion surveys by detailing his own accomplishments, such as they are, including his aforementioned role in developing the Nike brand. Apparently stung by charges that his own (as opposed to his parents’ or even sister Kris’) resume is distinguished by a serious lack of experience in anything other than occupying his hometown’s congressional seat for nine years and spending three years so far in the Senate, Aquino proclaimed that, according one one obviously overawed newspaper report about Noynoy’s “experience in the private sector,” he was “a member of the team that helped Nike become popular in the country in the mid-1980s.”

Doing what, exactly? Well, from 1985 to 1986, Noynoy Aquino was retail sales supervisor and youth promotions assistant for Nike Philippines and later an assistant for advertising and promotion for Mondragon Philippines, which once held exclusive distributorship rights to the Nike brand.

For those who may find the name Mondragon familiar, that company was owned by flamboyant businessman and Ninoy-Cory supporter Jose Antonio “Speedy” Gonzalez. Upon Cory’s assumption to the presidency in 1986, Gonzalez was rewarded with the post of tourism secretary—and a scant two months later, was one of the principals in what former columnist Hilarion Henares called “the first post-Edsa scam,” the hush-hush sale at a bargain-basement price of high-value Philippine government property at 212 Stockton Street in San Francisco, hard by Union Square.

The Stockton property sale was investigated by the Senate blue ribbon committee shortly after Congress was reinstated, with as much fanfare and official hand-wringing that attend such probes conducted today. But while both Gonzalez and then-GSIS president Feliciano Belmonte Jr. were pilloried for it in the Senate and in the press, none of the dirt ever went up to President Cory Aquino—even if her son was employed by Gonzalez at the time.

Aquino’s short stint in a company not owned by his family—but owned by a close family friend—hardly qualifies as “experience in the private sector,” no matter how glowingly that is spun. But, for those who have swallowed the Noynoy myth without questioning, that period of accepting paychecks not signed by relatives or officials of the Philippine government must now rank up there with Manny Pacquiao’s use of those funky, bright-red lace-up boxing shoes as Nike’s first and only Filipino international product endorser.

Noynoy will have to do better than that in the days ahead, if he doesn’t want to see his lead in the surveys fritter away to truly panic-inducing margins as the afterglow of his mother’s death becomes more and more of a distant memory. His bumbling attempts at explaining his dwindling lead in the polls (by belittling surveys in general) and at burnishing his achievement-challenged resume (now that he realizes that he has to declare himself as something more than the least-accomplished of the Aquinos in public life) just leave most people, in a word, underwhelmed.

It may well be that Aquino himself has never been liked to any official indiscretion, as his boosters keep drumming into our heads. But at the moment, more and more people are starting to believe that that’s simply because he hasn’t really done anything yet.

* * *

Perhaps if SWS stuck to traditional opinion polling more often, it would actually serve its purpose as an accurate indicator of the shifting winds of public opinion at any given point in time. For instance, by not employing its controversial “pick-three” method of choosing presidential candidates, the SM of survey companies was probably able to function as a more accurate weather vane for the popular sentiment.

Several times in this space, I have taken SWS to task for its practice of asking respondents to choose three candidates that they would likely vote for, even if voters really get to choose only one in an actual voting booth. And by not assigning descending weights to each of the three choices made by its respondents, SWS only succeeds in muddling the picture some more for people who want to make sense of what the public pulse is.

Let’s just hope that, like in its last survey, SWS sticks to more established polling methods for candidates instead of using confusing and often statistically-skewed systems like its “pick-three” polling. That way, they’ll enlighten people more—and lay themselves less open to the charge that they’re merely dreaming up their data in the shadow of the Black Nazarene’s basilica.

What is certain

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from HE SAYS by Aldrin Cardon (The Daily Tribune)  Jan 13, 2010
http://www.tribune.net.ph/commentary/20100113com6.html

A comment, coming from a public relations man, raised a howl in a small group gathering recently to organize a team which would help Noynoy Aquino gain some boost in what appears as a dull media campaign.

The PR man believes Noynoy’s rating in the presidential surveys would no longer rise above the 46 percent among people polled by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) from Dec. 5 to 10. But the PR man was quick to supplement his claim by saying it doesn’t mean Noynoy would not win the May 10 polls, only that his rivals would gain a chunk from each others’ ratings, including from Noynoy’s, and that a very close fight might ensue between him and whoever rises to become his rival.

The latest SWS survey proved just that, regardless of whoever commissioned the poll, as Noynoy lost two percent of his December standing to Manny Villar’s 33 percent, which is a big jump from the 27 percent he garnered in the previous survey.

Noynoy may or may not believe the survey commissioned by Rep. Ronnie Zamora, a Villar ally, but it is worth considering if he would want to retool his image further and protect the substantial lead he holds over his closest pursuers with still four months left before D-Day comes.

For one, Noynoy has not done anything substantial to enhance his image as a worthy leader to replace a corrupt one in the months after he had gained an unbelievable high of 50 plus percent in a Luzon-based survey prior to Mar Roxas’ decision to step down.

Granting, for the sake of argument, that that initial survey was a clean one, Noynoy’s rating was obviously boosted by the people’s sentiment against Gloria Arroyo and the death of former president, Cory Aquino.

But it did not help that Noynoy has become an elusive subject soon after that.

On questions regarding Hacienda Luisita, it was Mar Roxas, his vice presidential candidate, who was made to answer reporters’ questions, with the Liberal Party (LP) issuing statements in his behalf on future issues related to the Cojuangco family-owned land.

While his slogan: “Tanggalin ang Tiwali, Itama ang Mali. Laban ng Tapat, Laban ng Lahat,” sounds appealing to people longing for change, other contents of his blog site remained on the traditional side (contrary to his camp’s claim of new politics, whatever that means), they have yet to spur action among his numerous supporters in the manner, say Gibo Teodoro’s team has been doing with the very small core group the Malacañang bet has gained.

Only GMA is pulling down Teodoro, one that is very likely to cause his flat fall.

But Noynoy is different from Gibo. He has a built-in machinery of old Cory supporters, the civil (some call ‘em evil) society, the Church and the mainstream media. Yet Noynoy has not used their full potential for his candidacy, unlike, say Villar.

Villar, moneyed as he is prepared for this haul, has been using various media to get the people’s attention.

Villar’s street talk is sending the message across. The jingle asking voters if he had swam in a sea of garbage and spent Christmas in the street is a work of a genius, even small children are singing it for their bedtime lullaby.

Many say a candidate would win it if children would recognize his jingle right on the first note. Chiz Escudero would perhaps attest his “Sugod kasama si Chiz” in the previous elections did wonders for his candidacy. Or maybe ja-ja-ja-Jamby.

Or it would work against a candidate, like in the case of Migs Zubiri’s “Boom-tarat-tarat,” which boisterous children quickly reinvented as “Boom-kurap-kurap.” And we all know how Zubiri worked harder to get that last senatorial berth.

But not Ogie Alcasid’s sentimental take on Ninoy and Cory Aquino’s heroism in Noynoy’s “Hindi ka nag-iisa” theme. Ninoy and Cory are heroes, alright. But Noynoy has not proven himself as yet if he is worthy of the same reverence.

In fact, the people are still waiting for Noynoy to walk his talk (or at least talk before he does his walk), and prove himself worth of being entrusted with the country’s leadership.

Because if he can’t do that, there are other candidates the people would consider worthy of their votes.

January 9, 2010

Special SWS survey shows Aquino slipping, Villar rising

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from The Daily Tribune
01/09/2010
http://www.tribune.net.ph/nation/20100109nat14.html

Results of a special survey conducted by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) last Dec. 27-28 have showed that consistent frontrunner in the recent surveys on favored presidential candidates, Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III slipping two percentage points from the last SWS poll on the same subject, while Sen. Manny Villar Jr. gained six percentage points from the two surveys.
The special year-end survey, which was privately commissioned by House Minority Leader, San Juan City, Metro Manila Rep. Ronaldo Zamora, had asked some 2,100 respondents the question (in Filipino): “Among the following list of names, who will you most likely vote for as President of the Philippines, if the elections were held today?”
The results of the poll had 44 percent of the respondents choosing Aquino, although it was a slide from the “votes” he got in a similar survey done by the SWS last Dec. 5-10 where he garnered 46 percent.
Following Aquino, albeit still trailing him substantially, is Villar, who copped 33 percent of those who were polled. That, however, was notably a big jump from his having obtained 27 percent in the previous SWS survey.
The gap between Villar and Aquino in the special year-end survey has narrowed to only 11 percentage points from the 19-percentage point difference in the earlier SWS survey.
Other contenders for the presidency did not show much change in rating between the two polls.
Deposed President Joseph Estrada retained his third slot but shed one percentage point in the new SWS survey to 15 percent from 16 percent in the previous poll.
Coming in fourth is administration bet Gilbert “Gibo” Teodoro, a cousin of Aquino, whose survey performance remained flat at 5 percent, similar to his Dec. 5-10 survey rating.
Television evangelist Eddie Villanueva’s ratings also did not move at 1 percent.
Sen. Richard Gordon scored 0.5 percent from his earlier 0.9 percent, while colleague Jamby Madrigal and independent John Carlos de los Reyes tied with 0.4 percent each from their previous 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.
The year-end special survey has a plus/minus 2.2 percent margin of error, SWS said.

Villar cuts Aquino lead

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NP camp solicited latest SWS survey
By Michael Lim Ubac

from Philippine Daily Inquirer

01/09/2010

MANILA, Philippines—The lead of Liberal Party standard-bearer Benigno Aquino III over his nearest rival, Sen. Manny Villar, of the Nacionalista Party has been narrowed to 11 percent, according to a recent Social Weather Stations survey commissioned by a Villar ally.
Aquino was the choice of 44 percent of 2,100 respondents across the country in the SWS special yearend survey conducted from Dec. 27 to 28, 2009.
Villar obtained 33 percent, narrowing the gap with Aquino to 11 percent, and improving his ratings from the 27 percent he got in the earlier Dec. 5-10 SWS survey.
The survey was privately commissioned by House Minority Leader San Juan Rep. Ronaldo Zamora, a Villar ally, and was released to Senate reporters by Villar’s office.
A statement issued by Villar’s office said the senator “seems to have benefited from the shift in voting preference over the last three weeks in December as respondents start to put a premium on proven competence, leadership and accomplishments.”
A comparison of the two surveys showed that Villar had added six percentage points in the three weeks between the two survey dates.
Aquino obtained 46 percent in the earlier survey, leading Villar by 19 percentage points.
Deposed president Joseph Estrada remained in third place but shed one percentage point in the new SWS survey to 15 percent, from his previous 16 percent.