From The Philippine Star
By Helen Flores
Link: http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=561744&publicationSubCategoryId=63
MANILA, Philippines - Nearly half of Filipino adults believe that a failure of the country’s first nationwide automated elections on May 10 will trigger a people power revolution, a latest survey by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) showed.
The special SWS Pre-Election Survey, conducted from Feb. 24 to 28, found that 48 percent of voters sense people power will happen if the 2010 elections fail, similar to 49 percent in the SWS October 2009 survey.
To the statement, “If the 2010 elections fail for any reason, e.g., malfunctioning of counting machines, then people power will probably happen already,” the SWS found that 48 percent agree and 21 percent disagree, for a net agreement score of +28.
SWS said the new score is similar to +27 in October 2009 survey.
SWS said expectations of people power in case elections fail either rose or stayed high in most areas and classes, but fell in balance Luzon.
Compared to October 2009, net agreement with the statement rose by 12 points in the Visayas, from +13 (38 percent agree, 25 percent disagree) to +25 (45 percent agree, 20 percent disagree).
By Helen Flores
Link: http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=561744&publicationSubCategoryId=63
MANILA, Philippines - Nearly half of Filipino adults believe that a failure of the country’s first nationwide automated elections on May 10 will trigger a people power revolution, a latest survey by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) showed.
The special SWS Pre-Election Survey, conducted from Feb. 24 to 28, found that 48 percent of voters sense people power will happen if the 2010 elections fail, similar to 49 percent in the SWS October 2009 survey.
To the statement, “If the 2010 elections fail for any reason, e.g., malfunctioning of counting machines, then people power will probably happen already,” the SWS found that 48 percent agree and 21 percent disagree, for a net agreement score of +28.
SWS said the new score is similar to +27 in October 2009 survey.
SWS said expectations of people power in case elections fail either rose or stayed high in most areas and classes, but fell in balance Luzon.
Compared to October 2009, net agreement with the statement rose by 12 points in the Visayas, from +13 (38 percent agree, 25 percent disagree) to +25 (45 percent agree, 20 percent disagree).
It was up by 10 points in Mindanao, from +16 (40 percent agree, 24 percent disagree) to +26 (46 percent agree, 20 percent disagree).
It also rose by seven points in Metro Manila, from +30 (54 percent agree, 24 percent disagree) to +37 (57 percent agree, 20 percent disagree).
However, it fell by 11 points in balance Luzon, from +39 (58 percent agree, 19 percent disagree) to +28 (49 percent agree, 21 percent disagree).
The survey also found four out of 10 Filipinos (46 percent) fear the counting machines are vulnerable to sabotage.
Fear of sabotage, however, eased in Luzon and class ABC, but rose in Mindanao, Visayas and class E, the SWS said.
The February 2010 survey found that 46 percent agree and 25 percent disagree with the test statement, “The machines that will be used to count the votes in the 2010 election can easily be sabotaged in order to fake the election results,” for a net agreement score of +21, similar to +18 (47 percent agree, 28 percent disagree) in October 2009.
Compared to October 2009, the net agreement score fell by 21 points in Metro Manila, from +33 (56 percent agree, 23 percent disagree) to +12 (44 percent agree, 32 percent disagree), and by eight points in balance Luzon, from +31 (55 percent agree, 24 percent disagree) to +23 (46 percent agree, 23 percent disagree).
It also rose by seven points in Metro Manila, from +30 (54 percent agree, 24 percent disagree) to +37 (57 percent agree, 20 percent disagree).
However, it fell by 11 points in balance Luzon, from +39 (58 percent agree, 19 percent disagree) to +28 (49 percent agree, 21 percent disagree).
The survey also found four out of 10 Filipinos (46 percent) fear the counting machines are vulnerable to sabotage.
Fear of sabotage, however, eased in Luzon and class ABC, but rose in Mindanao, Visayas and class E, the SWS said.
The February 2010 survey found that 46 percent agree and 25 percent disagree with the test statement, “The machines that will be used to count the votes in the 2010 election can easily be sabotaged in order to fake the election results,” for a net agreement score of +21, similar to +18 (47 percent agree, 28 percent disagree) in October 2009.
Compared to October 2009, the net agreement score fell by 21 points in Metro Manila, from +33 (56 percent agree, 23 percent disagree) to +12 (44 percent agree, 32 percent disagree), and by eight points in balance Luzon, from +31 (55 percent agree, 24 percent disagree) to +23 (46 percent agree, 23 percent disagree).
It rose by 35 points in Mindanao, from -9 (33 percent agree, 41 percent disagree, correctly rounded) to +26 (47 percent agree, 21 percent disagree), and by five points in the Visayas, from +10 (37 percent agree, 27 percent disagree) to +15 (45 percent agree, 29 percent disagree).
By class, net agreement to the statement fell by 12 points in class ABC, from +24 (45 percent agree, 20 percent disagree) to +12 (42 percent agree, 29 percent disagree), and by two points in class D, from +23 (50 percent agree, 27 percent disagree) to +21 (47 percent agree, 25 percent disagree).
It rose by 16 points in class E, from +6 (40 percent agree, 34 percent disagree) to +22 (43 percent agree, 21 percent disagree).
Survey that Comelec can guard vs sabotage in 2010 elections improves
By class, net agreement to the statement fell by 12 points in class ABC, from +24 (45 percent agree, 20 percent disagree) to +12 (42 percent agree, 29 percent disagree), and by two points in class D, from +23 (50 percent agree, 27 percent disagree) to +21 (47 percent agree, 25 percent disagree).
It rose by 16 points in class E, from +6 (40 percent agree, 34 percent disagree) to +22 (43 percent agree, 21 percent disagree).
Survey that Comelec can guard vs sabotage in 2010 elections improves
Meanwhile, the survey revealed that trust that the Commission on Elections (Comelec) can guard against sabotage in the 2010 elections improved in all areas and classes.
To the test statement, “The Comelec can be trusted to make sure that there is no sabotage of the machines to be used to count the votes in the 2010 election,” 58 percent agree and 12 percent disagree, for a net agreement score of +46, up 30 points from +16 (44 percent agree, 28 percent disagree) in October 2009.
Compared to October 2009, net agreement to the statement rose by 38 points in the Visayas, from +12 (37 percent agree, 25 percent disagree) to +50 (61 percent agree, 11 percent disagree).
It jumped by 30 points in balance Luzon, from +18 (47 percent agree, 29 percent disagree) to +48 (59 percent agree, 12 percent disagree).
It went up by 23 points in Metro Manila, from +11 (45 percent agree, 33 percent disagree) to +34 (54 percent agree, 21 percent disagree), and by 26 points in Mindanao, from +19 (45 percent agree, 25 percent disagree) to +45 (56 percent agree, 11 percent disagree).
It likewise rose by 35 points in class E, from +12 (41 percent agree, 30 percent disagree) to +47 (56 percent agree, nine percent disagree), by 30 points in class D, from +16 (45 percent agree, 28 percent disagree) to +46 (59 percent agree, 14 percent disagree), and by one point in class ABC, from +37 (54 percent agree, 17 percent disagree) to +38 (54 percent agree, 16 percent disagree).
The February 2010 survey also found that 93 percent were aware about the counting of votes by machine in the May 2010 elections, 62 percent have experienced filling forms by shading, 81 percent expect the new system of voting will be easier, and 82 percent expect the vote-counting by machine will be more accurate compared to past elections.
Nine out of 10 Filipinos said they have prior knowledge of the machine-counting system, while seven percent heard about it only at the time of the interview.
Among those who are previously aware of the machine-counting system, their top sources of information about it were television (86 percent), radio (25 percent), and word-of-mouth through friends and relatives (20 percent).
Other sources cited were newspapers or magazines (11 percent), Internet (three percent), and others (two percent).
The poll also found 62 percent of voters saying they have prior experience in filling forms by shading – just like the new system of voting in the 2010 elections – either through filling of other forms that require shading (40 percent), or through college entrance tests (31 percent).
The remaining 38 percent said they have no experience in filling forms by shading.
Previous experience in filling forms by shading is highest in class ABC (80 percent), followed by class D (63 percent), and of class E (57 percent).
The survey also showed that four out of five (81 percent) of voters said the new system of voting in the 2010 elections will be easier compared to the old system, consisting of 55 percent who said it will be much easier and 26 percent somewhat easier.
The remaining few said it will be neither easy nor difficult (nine percent), somewhat more difficult (seven percent), and much more difficult (three percent).
Expectations that the new voting system in the 2010 elections will be easier were high in all classes, with 62 percent in class ABC, 56 percent in class D, and 50 percent in class E saying it will be much easier than the old system.
The survey also found that eight out of 10 Filipinos expect vote counting by machine to be more accurate compared to past elections.
Twenty-five percent said it would definitely more accurate, 57 percent probably more accurate, 14 percent probably not more accurate, and three percent definitely not more accurate.
The survey used face-to-face interviews of 2,100 registered voters, divided into random samples of 300 in Metro Manila and 600 each in balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao.
It had sampling error margins of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points for national percentages, plus or minus six percentage points for Metro Manila, and plus or minus four percentage points for balance Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.
To the test statement, “The Comelec can be trusted to make sure that there is no sabotage of the machines to be used to count the votes in the 2010 election,” 58 percent agree and 12 percent disagree, for a net agreement score of +46, up 30 points from +16 (44 percent agree, 28 percent disagree) in October 2009.
Compared to October 2009, net agreement to the statement rose by 38 points in the Visayas, from +12 (37 percent agree, 25 percent disagree) to +50 (61 percent agree, 11 percent disagree).
It jumped by 30 points in balance Luzon, from +18 (47 percent agree, 29 percent disagree) to +48 (59 percent agree, 12 percent disagree).
It went up by 23 points in Metro Manila, from +11 (45 percent agree, 33 percent disagree) to +34 (54 percent agree, 21 percent disagree), and by 26 points in Mindanao, from +19 (45 percent agree, 25 percent disagree) to +45 (56 percent agree, 11 percent disagree).
It likewise rose by 35 points in class E, from +12 (41 percent agree, 30 percent disagree) to +47 (56 percent agree, nine percent disagree), by 30 points in class D, from +16 (45 percent agree, 28 percent disagree) to +46 (59 percent agree, 14 percent disagree), and by one point in class ABC, from +37 (54 percent agree, 17 percent disagree) to +38 (54 percent agree, 16 percent disagree).
The February 2010 survey also found that 93 percent were aware about the counting of votes by machine in the May 2010 elections, 62 percent have experienced filling forms by shading, 81 percent expect the new system of voting will be easier, and 82 percent expect the vote-counting by machine will be more accurate compared to past elections.
Nine out of 10 Filipinos said they have prior knowledge of the machine-counting system, while seven percent heard about it only at the time of the interview.
Among those who are previously aware of the machine-counting system, their top sources of information about it were television (86 percent), radio (25 percent), and word-of-mouth through friends and relatives (20 percent).
Other sources cited were newspapers or magazines (11 percent), Internet (three percent), and others (two percent).
The poll also found 62 percent of voters saying they have prior experience in filling forms by shading – just like the new system of voting in the 2010 elections – either through filling of other forms that require shading (40 percent), or through college entrance tests (31 percent).
The remaining 38 percent said they have no experience in filling forms by shading.
Previous experience in filling forms by shading is highest in class ABC (80 percent), followed by class D (63 percent), and of class E (57 percent).
The survey also showed that four out of five (81 percent) of voters said the new system of voting in the 2010 elections will be easier compared to the old system, consisting of 55 percent who said it will be much easier and 26 percent somewhat easier.
The remaining few said it will be neither easy nor difficult (nine percent), somewhat more difficult (seven percent), and much more difficult (three percent).
Expectations that the new voting system in the 2010 elections will be easier were high in all classes, with 62 percent in class ABC, 56 percent in class D, and 50 percent in class E saying it will be much easier than the old system.
The survey also found that eight out of 10 Filipinos expect vote counting by machine to be more accurate compared to past elections.
Twenty-five percent said it would definitely more accurate, 57 percent probably more accurate, 14 percent probably not more accurate, and three percent definitely not more accurate.
The survey used face-to-face interviews of 2,100 registered voters, divided into random samples of 300 in Metro Manila and 600 each in balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao.
It had sampling error margins of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points for national percentages, plus or minus six percentage points for Metro Manila, and plus or minus four percentage points for balance Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.
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